Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -250 DUQ +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -3.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.8 (+2.2) | 145.2 (+29.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.2 (+0.8) | 146.3 (+28.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -3.0 (+2.0) | 146.4 (+28.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.8 (+2.2) | 146.1 (+28.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#106) | 4.1 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#81) | 0.77 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#89) | 0.84 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#52) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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