Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -400 SLU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -7.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -7.2 (+2.8) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -5.6 (+4.4) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.8 (+3.2) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -7.3 (+2.7) | 143.1 (+12.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SLU 90 – 85 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#101) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#79) | 0.16 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#89) | 0.06 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#48) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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