Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -260 DUQ +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -5.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+42.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.6 (-3.6) | 137.7 (+40.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -3.8 (-1.8) | 139.4 (+38.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -5.2 (-3.2) | 138.4 (+39.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.8 (-3.8) | 139.2 (+38.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SLU 90 – 85 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#104) | 1.3 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#120) | -0.21 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#109) | 0.10 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#94) | 0.498 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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