Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -500 SLU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -11.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -10.2 (+4.8) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -9.2 (+5.8) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -9.8 (+5.2) | 146.4 (+0.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -10.0 (+5.0) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SLU 90 – 85 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#103) | -2.8 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#95) | -0.25 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#98) | -0.32 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#67) | 0.487 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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