Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -26.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -18.8 (-7.8) | 149.7 (-26.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -20.1 (-9.1) | 147.6 (-24.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -22.9 (-11.9) | 147.2 (-24.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -22.6 (-11.6) | 147.3 (-24.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 23.7 (#1) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#6) | 0.27 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.42 (#7) | -0.00 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#7) | 0.520 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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