Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -10.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -9.4 (+1.6) | 148.0 (+7.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -8.9 (+2.1) | 147.4 (+7.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -8.9 (+2.1) | 148.8 (+6.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -9.1 (+1.9) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BALL 74 – 71 WMU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WMU 74 – 71 BALL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WMU 78 – 76 BALL |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BALL 77 – 67 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | WMU 78 – 68 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#260) | -12.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#220) | -2.09 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#224) | -2.50 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#232) | 0.427 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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