Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.4 (+9.6) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.6 (+11.4) | 138.0 (+3.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.1 (+9.9) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.4 (+9.6) | 138.5 (+2.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2023 | SHSU 55 – 40 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#123) | -0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | 0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#109) | -0.09 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.513 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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