What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Western Athletic Conference · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money SHSU -250 / SEA +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +15 95 Won
Massey SHSU -8.3 (+6.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (-38.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -5.7 (+9.3) 138.4 (-43.4) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -5.6 (+9.4) 136.9 (-41.9) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -6.3 (+8.7) 139.1 (-44.1) 72% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -6.7 (+8.3) 139.7 (-44.7) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2022 SEA 78 – 63 SHSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU SEA
Overall 26-8 20-12
Conference 14-4 11-7
Home 12-1 12-2
Away 10-6 7-7
Neutral 4-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 70.3
Avg Pts Against 61.7 70.0
Massey 9.3 (#52) 4.5 (#103)
Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#58) 1.49 (#62)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.75 (#67) 1.55 (#75)
RPI 0.578 (#53) 0.569 (#65)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU SEA
FG% 44.7% 41.3%
3PT% 40.2% 32.0%
REB / G 33.5 38.4
OREB / G 10.6 11.6
AST / TO 0.86 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 48.8%
TOV% 19.8% 17.1%
ORB% 31.5% 31.0%
FT Rate 22.0% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 25.6% 17.2%
DRB% 73.1% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 28.4% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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