Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +30 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -6.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -6.0 (-24.0) | 141.5 (-11.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -4.5 (-25.5) | 142.3 (-12.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.4 (-24.6) | 142.4 (-12.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.8 (-24.2) | 141.5 (-11.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MER 69 – 64 FUR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FUR 74 – 72 MER |
| Feb 13, 2025 | FUR 96 – 72 MER |
| Jan 25, 2025 | FUR 79 – 74 MER |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MER 82 – 75 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#220) | 7.4 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#153) | 1.16 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#171) | 1.33 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#145) | 0.573 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.