Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -160 NIA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -2.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -0.1 (+4.1) | 131.2 (-15.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.1 (+5.1) | 132.2 (-16.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.3 (+5.3) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -0.9 (+4.9) | 132.6 (-16.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#290) | -1.7 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#221) | -0.81 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#244) | -0.88 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#193) | 0.477 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.