Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -330 STMN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +29 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -5.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -5.0 (+24.0) | 154.8 (-21.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -4.2 (+24.8) | 149.2 (-16.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -4.3 (+24.7) | 157.4 (-24.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -4.6 (+24.4) | 157.9 (-24.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2023 | STMN 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | STMN 82 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | WIU 60 – 56 STMN |
| Jan 1, 2022 | STMN 89 – 66 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#206) | -1.38 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#219) | -1.40 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#229) | 0.445 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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