Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | WIU +140 STMN -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -4.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -2.5 (-4.5) | 145.3 (-18.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -1.9 (-5.1) | 142.7 (-15.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -2.8 (-4.2) | 146.0 (-19.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -2.6 (-4.4) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | STMN 82 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | WIU 60 – 56 STMN |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WIU 81 – 52 STMN |
| Jan 1, 2022 | STMN 89 – 66 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#263) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#217) | -0.13 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#230) | -0.45 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#229) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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