Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -120 STMN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -0.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.6 (+3.4) | 145.7 (-29.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.2 (+2.8) | 143.6 (-27.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.9 (+3.1) | 146.7 (-30.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -0.9 (+3.1) | 147.3 (-31.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2023 | STMN 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | STMN 82 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WIU 81 – 52 STMN |
| Jan 1, 2022 | STMN 89 – 66 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#247) | -1.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#206) | 0.02 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#217) | -0.30 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.489 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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