Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -300 WIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -8.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -6.8 (+6.2) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -4.7 (+8.3) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -6.6 (+6.4) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -6.8 (+6.2) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2023 | STMN 67 – 60 WIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | WIU 60 – 56 STMN |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WIU 81 – 52 STMN |
| Jan 1, 2022 | STMN 89 – 66 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#194) | -5.8 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | -0.32 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#193) | -0.70 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#176) | 0.477 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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