Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Under |
| Money | STMN +145 WIU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -1.2 (+21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -0.9 (+22.1) | 155.9 (-0.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -2.6 (+20.4) | 154.8 (+0.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -0.5 (+22.5) | 154.7 (+0.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -0.3 (+23.3) | 155.3 (-0.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2023 | STMN 67 – 60 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | STMN 82 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | WIU 60 – 56 STMN |
| Jan 29, 2022 | WIU 81 – 52 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#201) | 2.1 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#268) | 0.37 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#264) | 0.15 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#285) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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