Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +9 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -6.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -7.2 (-1.8) | 154.3 (+14.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -5.6 (-3.4) | 151.5 (+17.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -6.0 (-3.0) | 152.7 (+16.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -6.1 (-2.9) | 152.6 (+16.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#287) | 2.6 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#291) | 0.36 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#288) | 0.82 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#314) | 0.522 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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