Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +8 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -2.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.6 (-10.6) | 142.7 (+35.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -1.5 (-9.5) | 142.8 (+35.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.3 (-9.3) | 142.3 (+35.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -1.2 (-9.2) | 143.8 (+34.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WKU 82 – 80 MTSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MTSU 87 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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