Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +17 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -15.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -11.3 (+5.7) | 131.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -9.8 (+7.2) | 129.5 (-12.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -13.2 (+3.8) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -12.6 (+4.4) | 133.1 (-16.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | MIZ 78 – 61 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#29) | -0.8 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#19) | 0.49 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#18) | 0.64 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#58) | 0.516 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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