Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -111 ISU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -2.8 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -0.5 (+17.5) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -2.0 (+19.0) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -0.6 (+17.6) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -0.5 (+17.5) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | ISU 67 – 50 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#59) | 15.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#33) | 3.00 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#39) | 3.63 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#41) | 0.622 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 27.9% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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