Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -8.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -5.6 (-1.6) | 135.7 (-7.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -7.0 (-3.0) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -7.2 (-3.2) | 138.3 (-10.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -6.6 (-2.6) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DREX 68 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 19, 2026 | TOW 59 – 58 DREX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TOW 82 – 76 DREX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TOW 55 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TOW 93 – 82 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 11-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#92) | 0.8 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#92) | 0.13 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#91) | 0.06 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.491 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.