Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | JKST -215 GRAM +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -7.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -4.0 (-13.0) | 131.6 (+5.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -3.9 (-12.9) | 129.7 (+7.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -4.2 (-13.2) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -4.0 (-13.0) | 131.3 (+5.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-15 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#273) | -10.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#305) | -1.63 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#304) | -2.19 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#302) | 0.430 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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