Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN +100 MRST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +7 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -1.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+39.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -0.3 (+7.3) | 141.8 (+39.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -0.2 (+6.8) | 140.8 (+40.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -0.2 (+7.2) | 141.5 (+39.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -0.3 (+7.3) | 142.4 (+38.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#248) | 0.0 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#232) | -0.77 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#241) | -0.65 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#268) | 0.469 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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