We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
Willett Hall · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -3.0 Home covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total LONG win
Actual LONG +4 180 Won
Massey LONG -7.1 (-3.1) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (+29.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LONG -4.4 (-0.4) 142.1 (+37.9) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LONG -5.5 (-1.5) 145.8 (+34.2) 71% ✓
Baseline ML LONG -5.4 (-1.4) 148.2 (+31.8) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LONG -5.8 (-1.8) 144.5 (+35.5) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WIN 79 – 74 LONG
Dec 31, 2025 LONG 82 – 70 WIN
Mar 8, 2025 WIN 88 – 79 LONG
Feb 28, 2025 WIN 85 – 59 LONG
Jan 11, 2025 WIN 95 – 76 LONG

Game Analysis

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