Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
| Money | SEMO -135 SIUE +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -1.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -2.0 (+6.0) | 152.0 (+10.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.1 (+5.9) | 155.3 (+6.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -1.6 (+6.4) | 157.7 (+4.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.0 (+7.0) | 155.3 (+6.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#294) | -5.7 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#293) | -1.70 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#292) | -2.14 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#281) | 0.430 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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