He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -2.0 Away covered
O/U 148.0 Under
Money WRST -135 / CLE +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual CLE +4 138 Lost
Massey WRST -0.4 (-4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 152.6 (-14.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 27% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 27% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -1.2 (-5.2) 149.2 (-11.2) 51% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -0.5 (-4.5) 150.2 (-12.2) 48% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -0.2 (-4.2) 152.0 (-14.0) 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -0.2 (-4.2) 152.0 (-14.0) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 WRST 90 – 61 CLE
Feb 15, 2026 WRST 102 – 90 CLE
Jan 22, 2026 CLE 85 – 79 WRST
Feb 28, 2025 WRST 82 – 76 CLE
Dec 29, 2024 CLE 78 – 64 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST CLE
Overall 22-14 20-11
Conference 15-7 15-6
Home 12-3 15-3
Away 7-7 5-7
Neutral 3-4 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.5 74.9
Avg Pts Against 72.3 71.0
Massey -3.7 (#241) -0.8 (#183)
Bradley-Terry -0.86 (#250) 0.67 (#121)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#245) 0.59 (#134)
RPI 0.466 (#225) 0.545 (#98)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST CLE
FG% 46.8% 46.3%
3PT% 31.4% 31.6%
REB / G 33.5 34.9
OREB / G 9.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.02 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 51.9%
TOV% 18.1% 19.0%
ORB% 27.9% 33.0%
FT Rate 25.0% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 22.4%
DRB% 70.2% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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