Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | COPP -3.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COPP -1.7 (-4.7) | 144.3 (-19.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -2.5 (-5.5) | 140.8 (-15.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -2.8 (-5.8) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -2.5 (-5.5) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UMES 70 – 67 COPP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UMES 72 – 59 COPP |
| Feb 4, 2025 | COPP 62 – 57 UMES |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-4 |
| Away | 4-16 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 62.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#297) | -7.4 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#277) | -1.68 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#276) | -2.86 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#254) | 0.444 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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