Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +8 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -1.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -0.5 (-8.5) | 143.2 (+30.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -0.8 (-8.8) | 145.0 (+29.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -0.4 (-8.4) | 146.1 (+27.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -0.1 (-7.9) | 145.2 (+28.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | KENT 78 – 71 BGSU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KENT 96 – 93 BGSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | KENT 91 – 84 BGSU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | KENT 75 – 57 BGSU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | KENT 73 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 16-4 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#232) | -1.6 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#198) | -0.17 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#209) | -0.15 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#189) | 0.491 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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