But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Bowling Green Falcons
60 – 73
FINAL Neutral Conference MAC
Kent State Golden Flashes
Mid-American Conference · Rocket Arena (Neutral) · March 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -1.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money BGSU +100 / KENT -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total BGSU win
Actual KENT +13 133 Lost
Massey KENT -3.1 (-9.9) — —
Massey Totals — 144.9 (-11.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -1.7 (-11.3) 140.6 (-7.6) 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -3.3 (-9.7) 139.9 (-6.9) 34% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -1.9 (-11.1) 139.1 (-6.1) 42% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -1.9 (-11.1) 138.9 (-5.9) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 KENT 78 – 71 BGSU
Jan 7, 2026 KENT 96 – 93 BGSU
Feb 19, 2025 KENT 91 – 84 BGSU
Jan 29, 2025 KENT 75 – 57 BGSU
Jan 24, 2024 KENT 90 – 84 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BGSU KENT
Overall 20-14 17-17
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 12-5 9-6
Away 5-7 4-9
Neutral 3-2 4-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.7 73.8
Avg Pts Against 72.1 72.0
Massey -3.3 (#226) -0.2 (#168)
Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#183) -0.28 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#190) -0.33 (#196)
RPI 0.491 (#196) 0.497 (#184)
Shooting & Four Factors BGSU KENT
FG% 43.0% 43.6%
3PT% 29.7% 35.7%
REB / G 38.2 34.4
OREB / G 11.6 10.9
AST / TO 0.98 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 50.7%
TOV% 16.2% 17.4%
ORB% 31.0% 31.0%
FT Rate 24.7% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 18.6%
DRB% 74.6% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 25.5%

Game Analysis

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