I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · January 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -3.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money KENT -175 / BGSU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +3 189 Won
Massey BGSU -2.2 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 163.9 (+25.1)
Bradley-Terry 64%
Weighted B-T 58%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -0.2 (+2.8) 155.4 (+33.6) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML BGSU -0.4 (+3.4) 152.2 (+36.8) 51%
Baseline ML BGSU -1.6 (+4.6) 153.7 (+35.3) 47%
Baseline Plus ML BGSU -1.9 (+4.9) 154.6 (+34.4) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 KENT 7871 BGSU
Feb 19, 2025 KENT 9184 BGSU
Jan 29, 2025 KENT 7557 BGSU
Mar 15, 2024 KENT 7360 BGSU
Jan 24, 2024 KENT 9084 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT BGSU
Overall 24-10 18-14
Conference 14-4 9-9
Home 14-3 10-7
Away 7-6 6-6
Neutral 3-1 2-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.2 76.8
Avg Pts Against 80.6 72.7
Massey 0.0 (#168) 6.0 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#100) 1.00 (#96)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#115) 1.27 (#97)
RPI 0.562 (#79) 0.539 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT BGSU
FG% 45.4% 46.6%
3PT% 35.4% 33.9%
REB / G 37.1 34.4
OREB / G 11.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.07 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 52.6%
TOV% 19.4% 16.7%
ORB% 33.5% 29.8%
FT Rate 35.6% 28.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 22.4%
DRB% 70.7% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 32.6%

Game Analysis

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