I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · January 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -3.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money KENT -175 / BGSU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +3 189 Won
Massey BGSU -2.2 (+5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 163.9 (+25.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BGSU -1.9 (+4.9) 154.6 (+34.4) 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -0.2 (+2.8) 155.4 (+33.6) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BGSU -0.4 (+3.4) 152.2 (+36.8) 51% ✓
Baseline ML BGSU -1.6 (+4.6) 153.7 (+35.3) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 KENT 78 – 71 BGSU
Feb 19, 2025 KENT 91 – 84 BGSU
Jan 29, 2025 KENT 75 – 57 BGSU
Mar 15, 2024 KENT 73 – 60 BGSU
Jan 24, 2024 KENT 90 – 84 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT BGSU
Overall 24-10 18-14
Conference 14-4 9-9
Home 14-3 10-7
Away 7-6 6-6
Neutral 3-1 2-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.2 76.8
Avg Pts Against 80.6 72.7
Massey 0.0 (#168) 6.0 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#100) 1.00 (#96)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#115) 1.27 (#97)
RPI 0.562 (#79) 0.539 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT BGSU
FG% 45.4% 46.6%
3PT% 35.4% 33.9%
REB / G 37.1 34.4
OREB / G 11.9 10.5
AST / TO 1.07 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 52.6%
TOV% 19.4% 16.7%
ORB% 33.5% 29.8%
FT Rate 35.6% 28.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 22.4%
DRB% 70.7% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 32.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.