Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -7.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -5.6 (-1.6) | 141.0 (-25.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -4.8 (-0.8) | 141.1 (-25.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -5.0 (-1.0) | 140.6 (-24.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -4.6 (-0.6) | 141.8 (-25.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#275) | -10.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#242) | -1.97 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#270) | -2.42 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#201) | 0.426 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.