Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +18 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -8.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -5.1 (+12.9) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.7 (+12.3) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.7 (+12.3) | 147.5 (-3.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.6 (+12.4) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COFC 89 – 84 NE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | COFC 73 – 62 NE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COFC 87 – 85 NE |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COFC 77 – 73 NE |
| Feb 14, 2023 | COFC 99 – 63 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#179) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | -1.05 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#175) | -1.16 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#168) | 0.440 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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