Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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76–32 on winners spread MAE 8.1 108 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Siena @ Marist +7.6 134.4 78% 67–60 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Rider -0.7 140.2 38% 77–70 ✓
Monmouth @ Saint Peter's -7.0 133.6 31% 62–67 ✗
Manhattan @ Iona +13.8 150.1 88% 76–88 ✓
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +1.0 133.4 62% 53–73 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +0.8 130.6 52% 55–67 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +11.1 142.2 84% 53–68 ✓
Davidson @ Richmond +0.0 140.3 44% 87–84 ✗
Fresno State @ UNLV -2.3 130.9 39% 73–68 ✓
Northwestern @ Michigan State +8.7 147.3 75% 64–62 ✗
Creighton @ Xavier +8.7 142.2 81% 73–80 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -5.2 125.7 28% 51–62 ✗
Seton Hall @ Marquette +1.6 151.7 59% 72–73 ✓
Dayton @ Duquesne -3.7 131.0 43% 72–52 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +4.6 146.6 75% 79–107 ✓
UTSA @ Charlotte +11.3 142.9 84% 53–62 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Wagner +14.3 131.9 88% 76–81 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Bryant +7.4 144.5 74% 66–73 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC -4.2 140.0 29% 86–69 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne -7.1 145.1 23% 76–68 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -0.3 159.0 47% 90–85 ✓
Florida @ South Carolina -2.7 140.6 42% 71–63 ✓
NC State @ Duke +13.4 156.9 86% 73–88 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +10.8 142.6 85% 59–85 ✓
Arkansas @ LSU +11.3 140.7 77% 65–58 ✗
Texas @ Iowa State +1.4 125.8 53% 70–79 ✓
SMU @ Tulane -0.9 147.9 49% 75–66 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State -7.7 137.7 21% 71–64 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +6.2 141.4 80% 71–77 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Long Island University +9.4 141.2 83% 61–83 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +9.9 145.5 83% 76–73 ✗
Radford @ Campbell +6.3 122.3 69% 58–70 ✓
Harvard @ Columbia -8.5 144.2 19% 91–82 ✓
Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania +2.2 138.5 62% 68–78 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +2.8 154.9 68% 69–96 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +4.4 144.9 70% 74–76 ✓
App State @ Coastal Carolina +4.4 130.8 64% 84–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ North Dakota State +3.2 147.2 65% 90–79 ✗
Wofford @ Western Carolina -7.3 145.7 22% 84–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer +0.4 127.5 56% 49–58 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +4.9 149.0 71% 77–82 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern -0.1 136.6 45% 76–68 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -9.9 144.2 16% 70–62 ✓
Rutgers @ Maryland +4.0 140.0 65% 70–59 ✗
Fordham @ Saint Louis +13.0 142.8 87% 45–63 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +2.4 142.5 53% 76–70 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston +1.4 137.0 59% 41–49 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +4.7 128.9 56% 62–46 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +3.8 139.1 66% 60–66 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +1.9 151.3 52% 76–71 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +8.7 125.3 84% 54–89 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +5.0 146.4 73% 62–55 ✗
Denver @ South Dakota State +15.9 154.6 88% 62–80 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +7.7 141.0 77% 69–71 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford +0.9 146.5 60% 88–85 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +4.7 142.2 74% 70–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Missouri -5.6 140.7 29% 67–64 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -11.0 168.6 18% 115–83 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard +2.2 144.5 57% 77–74 ✗
Memphis @ East Carolina -5.7 149.9 31% 71–72 ✗
California @ Washington State +9.6 130.4 83% 57–65 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State -0.3 151.4 47% 79–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.0 124.0 33% 65–64 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -2.6 133.7 33% 72–73 ✗
North Texas @ Western Kentucky -0.7 131.4 38% 65–60 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +14.2 141.5 87% 65–76 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +10.4 148.0 86% 68–79 ✓
Chicago State @ Lamar +2.1 131.5 59% 67–56 ✗
Louisville @ Pittsburgh -2.2 131.6 47% 53–65 ✗
NJIT @ UAlbany +1.2 129.1 54% 56–71 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Stetson +0.6 132.7 50% 77–49 ✗
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas -4.3 148.2 38% 88–89 ✗
Oklahoma @ TCU +1.4 132.7 62% 58–59 ✓
James Madison @ William & Mary -11.5 138.0 15% 95–91 ✓
Towson @ Elon -8.4 133.9 23% 59–54 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +13.3 141.8 87% 64–80 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia +2.3 126.4 57% 63–55 ✗
Rhode Island @ Massachusetts -1.1 143.8 45% 81–68 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois -0.4 145.6 53% 70–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +14.1 141.1 85% 61–54 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -5.9 137.9 22% 62–60 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +5.8 146.1 72% 82–60 ✗
Portland State @ Sacramento State +4.2 134.3 57% 67–62 ✗
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +9.4 154.5 85% 74–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +9.6 143.5 84% 75–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida -5.2 127.2 27% 54–51 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +0.1 144.8 43% 77–71 ✗
Louisiana @ Texas State +4.5 134.3 68% 68–72 ✓
Missouri State @ Valparaiso -2.9 141.9 35% 74–57 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota +9.4 146.3 83% 70–105 ✓
Toledo @ Bowling Green -4.6 155.9 33% 91–78 ✓
Nevada @ Air Force -5.0 133.0 25% 75–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State +2.5 135.5 62% 55–59 ✓
Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans -4.5 154.5 29% 66–78 ✗
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -11.4 153.1 15% 70–65 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +6.7 137.0 76% 67–73 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico -9.1 142.7 17% 71–63 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State +0.6 151.5 58% 76–78 ✓
Stanford @ Washington -2.8 139.8 44% 64–67 ✗
Florida International @ Middle Tennessee +8.7 143.2 83% 39–50 ✓
Abilene Christian @ New Mexico State +5.5 142.9 72% 63–77 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +6.2 130.5 71% 73–79 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Georgia -6.0 142.9 24% 73–66 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State -10.3 142.6 18% 78–42 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +5.0 136.0 64% 63–73 ✓
Southern @ Grambling -5.0 139.7 29% 77–83 ✗
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2.3 135.9 36% 71–66 ✓
Boston College @ Clemson +10.9 135.2 82% 70–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.