Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +11 | 89 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -10.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-51.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -8.7 (+2.3) | 143.2 (-54.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -9.7 (+1.3) | 142.2 (-53.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -10.1 (+0.9) | 141.2 (-52.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -10.1 (+0.9) | 142.0 (-53.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | FIU 88 – 84 MTSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MTSU 73 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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