Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -7.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+36.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -4.4 (-12.4) | 130.8 (+29.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.5 (-12.5) | 131.2 (+28.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -4.2 (-12.2) | 133.1 (+26.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -4.3 (-12.3) | 131.6 (+28.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCU 67 – 62 APP |
| Dec 18, 2025 | APP 67 – 49 CCU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | APP 64 – 46 CCU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | APP 74 – 51 CCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | APP 88 – 59 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#137) | -1.7 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#191) | 0.16 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#178) | 0.25 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#214) | 0.520 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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