Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -11.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -9.4 (-4.4) | 154.5 (-1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -9.2 (-4.2) | 156.1 (-3.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -9.7 (-4.7) | 155.7 (-2.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -9.2 (-4.2) | 153.6 (-0.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#274) | -14.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#239) | -2.52 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#263) | -3.03 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#227) | 0.458 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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