Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -7.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -5.0 (-12.0) | 146.4 (-29.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -5.5 (-12.5) | 147.2 (-30.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -5.1 (-12.1) | 148.0 (-31.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -4.6 (-11.6) | 147.1 (-30.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 63 – 56 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#229) | -6.5 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#165) | -0.16 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#152) | -0.27 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#152) | 0.512 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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