Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -1400 ULM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -14.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -13.1 (-4.1) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -11.0 (-2.0) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -11.4 (-2.4) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -11.0 (-2.0) | 147.3 (-2.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 63 – 56 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#173) | -10.6 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#234) | -2.39 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#207) | -3.23 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#202) | 0.374 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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