Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -450 ULM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +6 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -8.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -6.6 (-0.6) | 134.8 (-24.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -8.3 (-2.3) | 134.9 (-24.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -8.3 (-2.3) | 134.6 (-24.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -8.2 (-2.2) | 137.9 (-27.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 63 – 56 ULM |
Game Analysis
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