Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +240 UTA -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -2.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -4.5 (-9.5) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.9 (-13.1) | 143.0 (+11.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -1.1 (-12.9) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.5 (-12.5) | 144.0 (+10.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 63 – 56 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-10 |
| Home | 5-11 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#326) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#340) | -0.68 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#340) | -0.41 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#337) | 0.486 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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