Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -400 ULM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -8.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -6.7 (+0.3) | 134.1 (-15.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -7.7 (-0.7) | 135.8 (-16.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -8.0 (-1.0) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -8.1 (-1.1) | 137.9 (-18.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
Game Analysis
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