Betting Lines
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | LIP -110 BELL -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -1.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.1 (-6.1) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -0.4 (-6.4) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -0.3 (-6.3) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -0.4 (-6.4) | 146.0 (+2.0) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
Game Analysis
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