Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +32 | 198 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -10.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -11.0 (-21.0) | 168.6 (+29.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -7.8 (-24.2) | 163.3 (+34.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -9.9 (-22.1) | 170.1 (+27.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -8.7 (-23.3) | 164.7 (+33.3) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | GONZ 79 – 68 SCU |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GONZ 94 – 86 SCU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 77 SCU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SCU 103 – 99 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 87.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#66) | 21.9 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#91) | 3.09 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#83) | 4.58 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.604 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 53.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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