Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -0.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.4 (-0.4) | 132.7 (-15.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.5 (-0.5) | 136.0 (-19.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -2.0 (-1.0) | 135.4 (-18.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -1.9 (-0.9) | 132.2 (-15.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#58) | 11.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#41) | 2.16 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#49) | 3.15 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#66) | 0.584 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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