Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -1.4 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -0.3 (+14.3) | 142.7 (-8.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -0.4 (+14.4) | 144.0 (-10.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -0.3 (+14.3) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -0.7 (+14.7) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | TCU 59 – 58 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#65) | 13.5 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#64) | 2.31 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#50) | 3.05 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#116) | 0.546 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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