Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -225 OU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +27 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -7.9 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -7.8 (+19.2) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -7.4 (+19.6) | 139.6 (-8.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -6.7 (+20.3) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -8.1 (+18.9) | 137.4 (-6.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | TCU 59 – 58 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#18) | 9.4 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#15) | 1.45 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#6) | 2.14 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#41) | 0.557 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.