Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -200 OU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -0.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.5 (+5.5) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -0.5 (+6.5) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -0.8 (+6.2) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -0.7 (+6.3) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2024 | TCU 80 – 71 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | TCU 59 – 58 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#24) | 12.6 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#48) | 1.92 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#47) | 2.39 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#96) | 0.557 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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