Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | TCU -205 OU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -3.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -3.9 (+5.1) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -2.3 (+6.7) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -2.9 (+6.1) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -3.2 (+5.8) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | TCU 77 – 70 OU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OU 74 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TCU 79 – 52 OU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | TCU 72 – 63 OU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | TCU 59 – 58 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#28) | 14.0 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#36) | 2.90 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#42) | 3.75 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#103) | 0.597 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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