Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -17.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -11.3 (-2.3) | 142.9 (-27.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -14.2 (-5.2) | 146.4 (-31.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -14.2 (-5.2) | 145.2 (-30.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -13.7 (-4.7) | 145.8 (-30.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UTSA 88 – 79 CLT |
| Jan 8, 2026 | CLT 74 – 58 UTSA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UTSA 83 – 80 CLT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CLT 79 – 70 UTSA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | CLT 66 – 58 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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