Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -1200 UTSA +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -18.0 (-27.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -15.4 (-24.4) | 145.6 (+21.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -12.6 (-21.6) | 144.8 (+22.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -14.2 (-23.2) | 144.4 (+22.6) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -14.7 (-23.7) | 145.5 (+21.5) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | CLT 74 – 58 UTSA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UTSA 83 – 80 CLT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CLT 79 – 70 UTSA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | CLT 66 – 58 UTSA |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UTSA 78 – 73 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-6 | 2-12 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 82.9 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | -15.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#165) | -2.29 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#175) | -2.78 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#172) | 0.416 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.