Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -5.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.7 (-2.7) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -4.5 (-2.5) | 146.0 (-4.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.4 (-2.4) | 145.5 (-3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -4.9 (-2.9) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#185) | -2.0 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#130) | -0.83 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#129) | -0.99 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#131) | 0.456 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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